Diabetes, Vol 43, Issue 4 572-579, Copyright © 1994 by American Diabetes Association
Incidence of renal failure in NIDDM. The Oklahoma Indian Diabetes Study
ET Lee, VS Lee, M Lu, JS Lee, D Russell and J Yeh
Center for Epidemiologic Research, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City 73190.
The incidence of and risk factors for renal failure were determined in 912
Oklahoma Indians with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in a
follow-up study conducted between 1987 and 1990. The incidence rate was
15.7/1,000 person-years after an average follow-up time of 10.2 years.
Among those who had no qualitatively positive proteinuria at baseline, the
incidence of renal failure was 10.3/1,000 person-years compared with 19.3-
and 56.2/1,000 person-years, respectively, in those with slight and heavy
proteinuria at baseline. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) > or = 11.1 mM
(200 mg/dl) increased the risk of renal failure to 2.9-fold (95% confidence
interval [CI] = 1.9-4.6) higher than a level < 7.8 mM (140 mg/dl), and
twofold (95% CI = 1.4-3.1) higher than a level between 7.8 (140 mg/dl) and
11.1 mM (200 mg/dl). The hypertensive patient had twice the incidence of
renal failure than the normotensive subject (rate ratio = 2.1, 95% CI =
1.4-3.0). Patients with a lower blood pressure under antihypertensive
medication had a lower incidence of renal failure than those whose
hypertension remained uncontrolled with or without use of medication.
Significant independent risk factors for renal failure, identified from
Cox's proportional hazards model, were duration of diabetes, FPG, age,
hypertension, and insulin use (P < 0.05). In patients without
proteinuria at baseline, FPG and hypertension were significant predictors
of renal failure as identified by multivariate analyses, whereas in
patients who had proteinuria at baseline, insulin use was significant.
Thus, hyperglycemic and hypertension control are suggested strongly for
diabetic Oklahoma Indians as potential strategies to prevent the
development of renal failure.