Diabetes 53:2126-2131, 2004 © 2004 by the American Diabetes Association, Inc.
Variation at the Insulin Gene VNTR (Variable Number Tandem Repeat) Polymorphism and Early GrowthStudies in a Large Finnish Birth Cohort
1 Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Churchill Hospital, Oxford, U.K
Variation at the insulin gene (INS-)VNTR (variable number of tandem repeats) minisatellite polymorphism has been reported to be associated with both early growth and adult metabolic phenotypes. However, the samples studied have been small and the relationship between INS-VNTR variation and parameters of early growth inconsistent, with four previous studies producing conflicting results. We have studied the relationship between INS-VNTR class (measured by genotyping the nearby 23HphI variant with which it is in tight linkage disequilibrium) and early growth in 5,646 members of the Northern Finnish Birth Cohort of 1966. Comparing class III homozygotes with other genotypes using multivariate linear regression analysis, we found no significant associations with any early growth measure (birth weight, birth length, ponderal index, and head circumference at 1 year), even after stratifying subjects by growth trajectory during infancy and/or birth order. For example, among infants with limited postnatal growth realignment (n = 2,470), class III/III infants were no heavier at birth (difference [±SE] in the means [fully adjusted], 58 ± 51 g; P = 0.26) than class I/ infants. No significant associations were detected following reanalysis with an additive model (for example, for birth weight, ß = 20 g [95% CI 3 to 44], P = 0.09). Studies of this large population-based cohort have failed to generate convincing evidence that INS-VNTR variation influences early growth.
There are two main explanations for the widely observed relationship between restricted early growth and increased susceptibility to type 2 diabetes. One mechanism, encapsulated in the thrifty-phenotype hypothesis, links poor intrauterine nutrition to permanent metabolic changes ("programming") that predispose to subsequent diabetes (1). Amply supported by studies in animal models (2), evidence that this mechanism is important in humans is less convincing (3,4). A complementary explanation attributes these associations to variation in genes with effects on both early growth and metabolic phenotypes (5). Evidence that paternal diabetes is associated with lower offspring birth weight (6,7) supports such a genetic explanation, and analyses within families segregating rare variants (e.g., in glucokinase) provide proof of principle that genes influencing insulin secretion (and/or action) can have pleiotropic effects on early growth (5). Such rare variants cannot, however, explain the observed population associations. In this context, several groups have sought to establish the role of insulin gene polymorphisms with respect to early growth. Variation at the insulin gene VNTR (variable number of tandem repeats) minisatellite has been implicated in susceptibility to type 2 diabetes (8,9), polycystic ovarian syndrome (10), and obesity (11). The importance of insulin as a major growth factor in early life, and evidence that the VNTR has a direct effect on insulin (and IGF2) transcription (12,13), provides strong grounds for suspecting that INS-VNTR variation also influences early growth. In the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) cohort (n = 1,049), Dunger et al. (14) found that VNTR class III homozygote infants had larger head circumference at birth than children of other genotypes. In infants displaying limited postnatal growth realignment ("nonchangers"), in whom birth size may more closely reflect fetal genotype, these class III associations extended to greater birth weight and length. However, there are some difficulties with these data (15). First, the direction of the association is contrary to expectation, given the consensus view that VNTR class III alleles reduce pancreatic insulin gene transcription (12,13) and increase risk of adult metabolic phenotypes (810). Second, a study of 418 offspring of Pima origin (16) reported an association between class III alleles and birth weight in the opposite direction, whereas in a recent study (17) of 1,184 infants from the U.K., no significant associations with birth weight were observed. Most recently, a study (18) of 452 additional subjects from the ALSPAC cohort confirmed the class III association with greater head size but failed to corroborate the association with birth weight. Since much of the inconsistency that has troubled complex trait association studies has resulted from the interpretation of findings from inadequately sized samples (19), we studied the relationship between the VNTR genotype and early growth phenotypes (birth weight, birth length, ponderal index, placental weight, and head circumference at 1 year) in 5,753 subjects from the Northern Finland Birth Cohort of 1966 (NFBC66). In this sample, as in other longitudinal cohorts (20), birth weight variation is significantly associated with adult metabolic traits (U.S., M.-R.J., unpublished observations). Of these subjects, 5,646 were successfully genotyped for the 23HphI variant, a close to perfect proxy for VNTR class in non-African populations (21). Overall, 68.3% (3,859 subjects) were homozygous for the A allele, 29.2% (1,646) were heterozygotes, and 2.5% (141) T allele homozygotes. The frequency of the 23HphI T allele (equivalent to VNTR class III) is, as previously noted (22,23), lower in Finns than in other European populations (17% in NFBC66). Genotype frequencies did not deviate significantly from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. Characteristics of the typed subjects are provided in Table 1.
Analyses of birth weight are displayed in Table 2. The primary analysis of all typed subjects found no significant relationship between VNTR genotype and birth weight under a recessive model that compared class III homozygotes with all other genotypes (P = 0.26). Under an additive model, each additional class III allele was associated with a mean birth weight difference of 20 g (95% CI 3 to 44), but this, too, did not reach significance (P = 0.09). In the ALSPAC cohort (14), VNTR class effects on early growth parameters were most evident in infants with limited postnatal growth realignment; we were unable to corroborate these findings (nonchangers: recessive model, P = 0.26; additive model, P = 0.53). The only subanalysis yielding nominally significant differences in birth weight was obtained after stratification for birth order. In first-born children (n = 1,770), class III homozygotes were 21 ± 74 g (mean ± SE) heavier than heterozygotes and 81 ± 72 g heavier than class I homozygotes. After adjustment for sex, gestational age, and pertinent maternal factors (including maternal BMI and smoking), these differences were significant under the additive (P = 0.011) but not the recessive (P = 0.40) model. Although first-born individuals are overrepresented among those babies showing positive growth realignment during infancy (28.4% of first born versus only 20.2% of later born), there was no significant relationship between genotype and birth weight in the "change-up" group (recessive model, P = 0.34; additive model, P = 0.08).
Selected analyses for other early growth phenotypes are provided in Tables 3 and 4. No significant associations were found for birth length, ponderal index at birth, or head circumference at 1 year, although the additive analysis for ponderal index attained nominal significance (P = 0.045, two sided). Stratification of the cohort by early growth trajectory, birth order, and/or sex failed to reveal any associations (data not shown). There was some suggestion (Table 4) that III/III homozygotes had smaller placentas, a difference that attained nominal significance (P = 0.024 under the recessive analysis) in the nonchangers. However, in the absence of corroboration from other analyses, interpretation of this finding (and others that reach nominal significance) needs to take account of the large number of different tests performed. There were no significant associations between offspring INS-VNTR genotype and the maternal variables listed in Table 1 (data not shown).
This study of a large Finnish birth cohort, therefore, does not substantiate the relationship between VNTR class and early growth reported in a smaller, though exquisitely characterized, cohort of children born in the U.K. one-quarter of a century later (14) or that seen (in the opposite direction) in a study of Pima Indian children (16). It is worth pointing out that the main analysis of birth weight in the Finnish cohort (Table 2) could be interpreted as being consistent with a very modest effect in the direction identified in the ALSPAC study (14), given that the additive analysis reaches nominal significance (P < 0.05) on a one-sided test. However, in the absence of corroboration on the recessive model and failure to detect any augmentation of the effect size following stratification by postnatal growth trajectory, we do not support such an interpretation. What are the possible explanations for this apparent discrepancy? Genotyping error in the current study seems unlikely given the duplicate genotyping and documented low error rate. Neither is the answer likely to lie in ethnic differences in VNTR subclass composition, presence (or absence) of nearby modifying variants, or variable local linkage disequilibrium relationships because these are known to be broadly similar in all non-African populations (21). Although the comparatively low class III allele frequency in this northern Finnish population reduces the power to detect effects restricted to class III homozygotes, the increased overall sample size should more than compensate (the number of class III homozygotes is twice that in the ALSPAC study). The fact that our population-based sample cannot detect (and allow for) parent-of-origin effects implicated in VNTR effects on both early growth (16) and subsequent phenotypes (9,11) represents an intrinsic limitation of the current study, but, again, cannot explain the failure to detect the VNTR association observed in the similarly constrained ALSPAC sample (14). According to the fetal insulin hypothesis, diabetes-susceptibility alleles are expected to reduce fetal size through compromised insulin secretion or action; however, where the mother also carries susceptibility alleles, and is therefore predisposed to gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), such associations might be obscured by consequent fetal macrosomia (5). No systematic information on blood glucose levels during pregnancy or GDM status is available for the NFBC66 mothers because at the time of cohort recruitment, GDM was not widely recognized and diagnostic criteria not established. However, undiagnosed GDM is unlikely to explain the failure to detect class III associations with increased birth size. The ALSPAC data indicate that, in the case of the INS-VNTR, the diabetes-associated (class III) allele leads to increased, not decreased, birth size (14,18). In this situation, GDM (presumably associated with maternal class III) would exacerbate, not obscure, the class III association with birth size. In addition, no VNTR associations were revealed when we excluded offspring with negative postnatal growth realignment on the basis that most offspring born following pregnancies complicated by GDM-associated macrosomia would be "change-downers." Four of the NFBC66 mothers had a preexisting diagnosis of diabetes; their exclusion from the analyses had no impact on the findings. Two possible explanations remain. The first attributes the discrepant findings to biological differences between the various study samples (e.g., environmental exposures, antenatal management, secular trends) and/or to study designrelated issues (ascertainment schemes, accuracy, and choice of measures of early growth) that have an effect on the power to detect VNTR association effects. In particular, it is important to note that we did not have data on head circumference at birth, the phenotype most strongly associated with the VNTR genotype in the ALSPAC cohort (14,18). Nonetheless, the persistence of the VNTR association with head circumference from birth to 7 years of age in the ALSPAC study (18) suggests that this is not a complete answer. The second explanation is that certain of the analyses in the smaller sets have been subject to type 1 error and effect-size inflation ("the winners curse") (19), which have led to an overestimation of the evidence that VNTR class and early growth are truly associated. The available data do not allow us to distinguish between these alternatives, which are, in any event, not mutually exclusive. Preliminary analyses of the 31-year data from the NFBC66 cohort have failed to find any clear evidence of a relationship between VNTR class variation and adult metabolic phenotypes (A.J.B., M.-R.J., M.I.M., unpublished observations). Therefore, while we can conclude that studies of this large population-based cohort have failed to generate convincing evidence that insulin gene VNTR class variation influences early growth, these studies of the insulin gene do not allow us to discriminate between genetic and environmental explanations for the observed associations between early growth and adult metabolic phenotypes.
The NFBC66 originally ascertained 96% of all women in the northernmost two provinces of Finland with expected dates of delivery during 1966 (12,058 live births) (24). Extensive data were collected on parental environment, pregnancy progress, and outcome. Several early growth phenotypes were captured using standardized methods including birth weight, birth length, and placental weight. Ponderal index was calculated as the ratio of birth weight to birth length cubed. Follow-up data were collected at 12 months age, including weight and head circumference (in 84.9 and 90.2%, respectively). At 31 years of age, all individuals still living in northern Finland or the Helsinki area (n = 8,463) were recontacted and invited for clinical examination (response rate 71%) and DNA sampling (5,753 samples available). The subset with DNA is representative of the original cohort in terms of birth and early growth parameters and the major environmental and social factors known to influence these characteristics.
Genotyping.
Statistical analysis.
Power.
The work in this study was conducted with the support of the U.K. Medical Research Council (program grant G9700120), the Academy of Finland, the European Commission (Framework 5 award QLG1-CT-2000-01643), and the Wellcome Trust (project grant GR069224MA). We acknowledge the many patients, relatives, nurses, and physicians who have contributed to the ascertainment of the various clinical samples used in this study. Address correspondence and reprint requests to Prof. Mark McCarthy, Robert Turner Professor of Diabetes, Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Churchill Hospital Site, Old Road, Headington, Oxford, OX3 7LJ, U.K. E-mail: mark.mccarthy{at}drl.ox.ac.uk Received for publication February 2, 2004 and accepted in revised form April 26, 2004
Abbreviations: ALSPAC, Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children; ARMS, amplification refractory mutation system; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; NFBC66, Northern Finland Birth Cohort of 1966; VNTR, variable number of tandem repeats
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