Skip to main content
  • More from ADA
    • Diabetes Care
    • Clinical Diabetes
    • Diabetes Spectrum
    • ADA Standards of Medical Care in Diabetes
    • ADA Scientific Sessions Abstracts
    • BMJ Open Diabetes Research & Care
  • Subscribe
  • Log in
  • Log out
  • My Cart
  • Follow ada on Twitter
  • RSS
  • Visit ada on Facebook
Diabetes

Advanced Search

Main menu

  • Home
  • Current
    • Current Issue
    • Online Ahead of Print
    • ADA Scientific Sessions Abstracts
  • Browse
    • By Topic
    • Issue Archive
    • Saved Searches
    • ADA Scientific Sessions Abstracts
    • Diabetes COVID-19 Article Collection
    • Diabetes Symposium 2020
  • Info
    • About the Journal
    • About the Editors
    • ADA Journal Policies
    • Instructions for Authors
    • Guidance for Reviewers
  • Reprints/Reuse
  • Advertising
  • Subscriptions
    • Individual Subscriptions
    • Institutional Subscriptions and Site Licenses
    • Access Institutional Usage Reports
    • Purchase Single Issues
  • Alerts
    • E­mail Alerts
    • RSS Feeds
  • Podcasts
    • Diabetes Core Update
    • Special Podcast Series: Therapeutic Inertia
    • Special Podcast Series: Influenza Podcasts
    • Special Podcast Series: SGLT2 Inhibitors
    • Special Podcast Series: COVID-19
  • Submit
    • Submit a Manuscript
    • Submit Cover Art
    • ADA Journal Policies
    • Instructions for Authors
    • ADA Peer Review
  • More from ADA
    • Diabetes Care
    • Clinical Diabetes
    • Diabetes Spectrum
    • ADA Standards of Medical Care in Diabetes
    • ADA Scientific Sessions Abstracts
    • BMJ Open Diabetes Research & Care

User menu

  • Subscribe
  • Log in
  • Log out
  • My Cart

Search

  • Advanced search
Diabetes
  • Home
  • Current
    • Current Issue
    • Online Ahead of Print
    • ADA Scientific Sessions Abstracts
  • Browse
    • By Topic
    • Issue Archive
    • Saved Searches
    • ADA Scientific Sessions Abstracts
    • Diabetes COVID-19 Article Collection
    • Diabetes Symposium 2020
  • Info
    • About the Journal
    • About the Editors
    • ADA Journal Policies
    • Instructions for Authors
    • Guidance for Reviewers
  • Reprints/Reuse
  • Advertising
  • Subscriptions
    • Individual Subscriptions
    • Institutional Subscriptions and Site Licenses
    • Access Institutional Usage Reports
    • Purchase Single Issues
  • Alerts
    • E­mail Alerts
    • RSS Feeds
  • Podcasts
    • Diabetes Core Update
    • Special Podcast Series: Therapeutic Inertia
    • Special Podcast Series: Influenza Podcasts
    • Special Podcast Series: SGLT2 Inhibitors
    • Special Podcast Series: COVID-19
  • Submit
    • Submit a Manuscript
    • Submit Cover Art
    • ADA Journal Policies
    • Instructions for Authors
    • ADA Peer Review
Late Breaking Poster Session

Global Prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes over the Next Ten Years (2018-2028)

  1. AMY BRADSHAW KAISER,
  2. NICOLE ZHANG and
  3. WOUTER VAN DER PLUIJM
  1. Burlington, MA
Diabetes 2018 Jul; 67(Supplement 1): -. https://doi.org/10.2337/db18-202-LB
Previous
  • Article
  • Info & Metrics
Loading

Abstract

Objective: We aimed to estimate the global prevalence of type 2 diabetes over the next ten years, taking into account trends in obesity. Our analysis includes estimates for 45 countries representing almost 90% of the world population. We defined a prevalent case as anyone living with type 2 diabetes, irrespective of whether it has been formally diagnosed or not and excluded type 1 diabetes cases.

Methods: We performed a global systematic search of published studies and other data sources that reported the prevalence of type 2 diabetes, as well as any factors that may change its risk or prognosis over time or between countries. Our analysis is based on critically-appraised literature and database evidence that reports the total prevalence of type 2 diabetes. From the results of this search, we appraised and selected country-specific estimates to project up to national totals. These estimates were adjusted to account for historical or future trends in risk, as well as relevant differences between countries when extrapolations were made. Our model includes country-specific obesity prevalence to incorporate the impact of obesity on diabetes trends.

Results: We estimate that in 2018 there are more than 500 million prevalent cases of type 2 diabetes worldwide and the prevalence is comparable between high- and low-income countries. The prevalence will increase in all countries covered over the projection period, but the greatest growth will be experienced in lower-income countries.

Disclosure A. Bradshaw Kaiser: None. N. Zhang: None.

  • © 2018 by the American Diabetes Association.
http://www.diabetesjournals.org/content/license

Readers may use this article as long as the work is properly cited, the use is educational and not for profit, and the work is not altered. More information is available at http://www.diabetesjournals.org/content/license.

Previous
Back to top
Diabetes: 67 (Supplement 1)

In this Issue

July 2018, 67(Supplement 1)
  • Table of Contents
  • Index by Author
  • Abstract PDFs
Sign up to receive current issue alerts
View Selected Citations (0)
Article Alerts
Sign In to Email Alerts with your Email Address
Email Article

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word about Diabetes.

NOTE: We only request your email address so that the person you are recommending the page to knows that you wanted them to see it, and that it is not junk mail. We do not capture any email address.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
Global Prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes over the Next Ten Years (2018-2028)
(Your Name) has forwarded a page to you from Diabetes
(Your Name) thought you would like to see this page from the Diabetes web site.
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Citation Tools
Global Prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes over the Next Ten Years (2018-2028)
AMY BRADSHAW KAISER, NICOLE ZHANG, WOUTER VAN DER PLUIJM
Diabetes Jul 2018, 67 (Supplement 1) 202-LB; DOI: 10.2337/db18-202-LB

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero
Add to Selected Citations
Share

Global Prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes over the Next Ten Years (2018-2028)
AMY BRADSHAW KAISER, NICOLE ZHANG, WOUTER VAN DER PLUIJM
Diabetes Jul 2018, 67 (Supplement 1) 202-LB; DOI: 10.2337/db18-202-LB
del.icio.us logo Digg logo Reddit logo Twitter logo CiteULike logo Facebook logo Google logo Mendeley logo
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One

Jump to section

  • Article
  • Info & Metrics

Related Articles

Cited By...

More in this TOC Section

Late Breaking Poster Session

  • Mechanistic Role of IP3R Calcium Release Channel in Pancreatic Beta-Cell Function
  • Altered Expression of Insulin Signaling Proteins in Islets from T2DM Female Mice
  • Cyclophilin D-Dependent Mitochondrial Proton Leak in ß Cells Promotes Basal Insulin Secretion
Show more Late Breaking Poster Session

Epidemiology/Genetics

  • Identification of Patient Profiles with Better Glycemic Outcomes Using Machine Learning—Results from the International Diabetes Management Practices Study (IDMPS)
  • Falls and Fall-Related Injuries among Adults aged =65 Years with Diabetes, United States, 2016
  • Saccharomyces Boulardii Attenuates Autonomic Cardiovascular Dysfunction and Modulates Inflammatory Cytokines in Diabetic Mice
Show more Epidemiology/Genetics

Epidemiology–Other

  • Large-Scale Cross-Sectional Study of the Problem Areas in Diabetes Survey among Japanese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
  • Novel Associations of Adipokines and Atherosclerotic Markers with Rising Levels of Insulin Resistance in a Mexican-American Border Population
  • Increased Hemoglobin A1c Correlates with Increased Liver Stiffness in a Mexican-American Population
Show more Epidemiology–Other

Similar Articles

Navigate

  • Current Issue
  • Online Ahead of Print
  • Scientific Sessions Abstracts
  • Collections
  • Archives
  • Submit
  • Subscribe
  • Email Alerts
  • RSS Feeds

More Information

  • About the Journal
  • Instructions for Authors
  • Journal Policies
  • Reprints and Permissions
  • Advertising
  • Privacy Policy: ADA Journals
  • Copyright Notice/Public Access Policy
  • Contact Us

Other ADA Resources

  • Diabetes Care
  • Clinical Diabetes
  • Diabetes Spectrum
  • Scientific Sessions Abstracts
  • Standards of Medical Care in Diabetes
  • BMJ Open - Diabetes Research & Care
  • Professional Books
  • Diabetes Forecast

 

  • DiabetesJournals.org
  • Diabetes Core Update
  • ADA's DiabetesPro
  • ADA Member Directory
  • Diabetes.org

© 2021 by the American Diabetes Association. Diabetes Print ISSN: 0012-1797, Online ISSN: 1939-327X.