TABLE 1

Ten-year incidence rates and ORs for type 2 diabetes in various categories

Baseline clinical characteristicsPerson-yearsDiabetes casesIncidence rate/1,000 person-years (95% CI)OR (95% CI)P value
Men3,872328.3 (5.4–11.2)1.0NS
Women3,972328.1 (5.3–10.9)1.0 (0.6–1.7)
Age
 40–49 years2,36083.4 (1.1–5.7)1.00.0023
 50–59 years2,098199.1 (5.0–13.2)2.8 (1.2–6.5)
 60–69 years2,0212411.9 (7.2–16.6)3.6 (1.6–8.2)
 70–79 years1,365139.5 (4.4–14.6)2.4 (1.0–6.0)
BMI
 <25 kg/m24,401184.1 (2.3–5.9)1.0<0.001
 25–30 kg/m22,8783110.8 (7.0–14.6)3.4 (1.8–6.3)
 >30 kg/m25651526.5 (13.3–39.7)9.9 (4.5–21.4)
No hypertension3,221144.3 (2.0–6.6)1.00.011
Hypertension4,6235010.8 (7.8–13.8)2.3 (1.2–4.3)
No dyslipidemia5,658407.1 (4.9–9.3)1.00.072
Dyslipidemia2,1862411.0 (6.6–15.4)1.6 (1.0–2.8)
Normouricemia6,779507.4 (5.4–9.4)1.0NS
Hyperuricemia1,0651413.1 (6.3–19.9)1.7 (0.9–3.2)
Nonsmokers5,913508.5 (6.2–10.8)1.0NS
Smokers1,931147.3 (3.5–11.1)0.9 (0.5–1.7)
No/low alcohol6,177457.3 (5.2–9.4)1.0NS
Moderate/high alcohol1,6671911.4 (6.3–16.5)1.8 (0.9–3.5)
High physical activity1,9582010.2 (5.7–14.7)0.8 (0.5–1.4)NS
Low physical activity5,886447.5 (5.3–9.7)1.0
No family history of diabetes5,499468.4 (6.0–10.8)1.0NS
Family history of diabetes2,345187.7 (4.2–11.2)1.0 (0.6–1.8)
No IFG7,174375.2 (3.5–6.9)1.0<0.001
IFG6702740.3 (25.4–55.2)10.9 (6.1–19.4)
No IGT7,190476.5 (4.6–8.4)1.0<0.001
IGT6541726.0 (13.8–38.2)4.4 (2.3–8.5)
  • Unadjusted incidence rates are per 1,000 person-years. ORs and P values are derived from a logistic regression model adjusted for age and sex (except for the comparison between sexes, which was adjusted for age only, and the comparison between age-groups, which was adjusted for sex only).