Discrimination | | |

*C* statistic | | |

Nonmodifiable risk factors (age, sex, and diabetes duration) (model 1) | 0.706 | 0.717 |

Established risk factors (model 2) | 0.744 | 0.793 |

Established risk factors plus AER | 0.750 | 0.799 |

Established risk factors plus AER and CRP | 0.756 | 0.802 |

LR test | | |

Established risk factors (model 2) | LR = 66, df = 11, *P* < 0.0001 | LR = 61.85, df = 11, *P* < 0.0001 |

Established risk factors plus AER | LR = 10.76, df = 1, *P* = 0.001 | LR = 4.69, df = 1, *P* = 0.03 |

Established risk factors plus AER and CRP | LR = 9.94, df = 1, *P* = 0.002 | LR = 3.03, df = 1, *P* = 0.08 |

Bayes information criterion | | |

Nonmodifiable risk factors (age, sex, and diabetes duration) (model 1) | 4,021.24 | 1,693.40 |

Established risk factors | 4,036.78 | 1,713.18 |

Established risk factors plus AER | 4,033.45 | 1,715.90 |

Established risk factors plus AER and CRP | 4,030.93 | 1,720.29 |

Calibration | | |

Grønnesby and Borgan test | | |

Nonmodifiable risk factors (age, sex, and diabetes duration) (model 1) | *P* = 0.28 | *P* = 0.10 |

Established risk factors | *P* = 0.44 | *P* = 0.21 |

Established risk factors plus AER | *P* = 0.42 | *P* = 0.27 |

Established risk factors plus AER and CRP | *P* = 0.10 | *P* = 0.28 |